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NFL Passing Props — Our Expert Picks and Predictions

Justin Carlucci

Justin Carlucci

Last updated: December 19, 2025

Dallas Cowboys quarterback Dak Prescott passes the ball against the New England Patriots

NFL passing props let you bet on individual quarterback performance instead of just team results.

Whether you’re looking at how many yards a quarterback will throw, how many completions they’ll rack up, or how many touchdowns they’ll toss, passing props offer a wide range of betting options.

From season-long wagers to live in-game bets, these markets add another layer of excitement to every throw.

This guide breaks down everything you need to know about NFL passing props. Learn how they work, when to bet, where to find the best lines, and our expert picks and predictions for the best NFL passing props available today.

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Best NFL passing props available today — Our expert picks

Below, you’ll find our best Week 15 passing props for the 2025 NFL season.

Dak Prescott > 262.5 Passing Yards

First things first: no weather concerns here. We’re in a dome, so we can throw out any environmental variables and just focus on the matchup.

Here’s my favorite nugget on this one – Dak Prescott is 2nd in the entire NFL with 1,103 passing yards when blitzed this season, according to Fantasy Points data. That’s an absurd number, and it matters a ton in this spot.

Why? Because Vikings defensive coordinator Brian Flores absolutely loves to bring the pressure. He’s one of the most aggressive blitz-callers in the league, and that plays right into Dak’s biggest strength. When teams send extra rushers at him, he’s carved them up all season long.

When healthy, this Dallas offense is legitimately a lot to handle. I would only shy away from them in brutal defensive matchups, and this isn’t one of those spots.

Sure, I’m expecting some disguised coverages and exotic looks from Flores – that’s his trademark. But I think Dak will find his guys in some favorable 1-on-1 matchups when the Vikings commit extra bodies to the rush.

At 262.5 yards? I like this number a lot.

Sam Darnold > 229.5 Passing Yards

Here’s the situation: the Colts have a lot of issues right now. I’m not even sure if they’re going to be able to sustain drives offensively, which should give the Seattle offense a few more opportunities in this one.

We’ll see if the elder statesman Philip Rivers will actually start on Sunday or not. Look, how quickly life comes at you, right? You believe in a small Daniel Jones sample size, you mortgage all your picks for a quarterback, and well… now the quarterback you mortgaged your future for is injured anyway. The Colts are in a world of hurt.

Regardless, back at the ranch house here, the Colts’ run defense is legitimately stout. I’ll give them that defensively. They’ve yielded the 6th-fewest amount of rushing yards per game in the NFL.

We know the Seattle game plan typically involves running the ball and hitting some play-action shots downfield. But I think Darnold will be forced to air it out a little more than usual in this matchup, given how solid Indy is against the run.

Here’s the thing – this isn’t even a really high passing yards number at 229.5. Even if the game-script doesn’t cooperate perfectly, I still have faith in JSN and the receiving weapons to get going in this one, regardless of who’s playing defensively for Indianapolis.

Top sportsbooks for betting on NFL passing props

The sportsbooks you choose to place your passing prop bets can impact your odds, available passing prop bet types, and bonus value if any are available. Below, we compare top sportsbooks by market depth, pricing, and sign-up offers to help you find the best fit for your NFL passing props.

DraftKings

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DraftKings is a go-to sportsbook for NFL passing props, offering one of the widest ranges in the market. You’ll find player passing yards, touchdowns, completions, interceptions, and even weekly specials.

The platform is fast, user-friendly, and offers stats-driven insights. DraftKings consistently offers competitive odds and early lines, especially during big NFL weeks. New users can get a generous sign-up bonus, like a first deposit match or bet credit bonus.

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